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Nghiên cứu các yếu tố ảnh hưởng đến ý định sử dụng chứng khoán phái sinh của nhà đầu tư cá nhân trên thị trường chứng khoán Việt Nam.

Người đăng

Ẩn danh

Thể loại

Thesis

2018

102
2
0

Phí lưu trữ

35 Point

Mục lục chi tiết

Acknowledgement

1. THEORETICAL BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESES

1.1. Foundational Theory

1.2. Research model and hypotheses

2. DATA ANALYSIS AND RESULTS

2.1. Exploratory Factor Analysis (EFA)

2.2. Confirmatory Factor Analysis (CFA)

2.3. Convergent Validity of all variables

2.4. Discriminant Validity of all variables

2.5. Structural Equation Modeling (SEM)

2.6. Indirect Effects of Behavior intention to use

2.7. Independent Sample T-test and Oneway Anova

2.8. Hypothesis testing results

3. IMPLICATIONS FOR MANAGERS

4. LIMITATIONS AND DIRECTIONS FOR FUTURE RESEARCH

List of figures

List of tables

List of abbreviations

Trích đoạn nội dung tài liệu

UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICS HO CHI MINH CITY International School of Business ------------------------------ Trang Nguyen Thanh Phuong DETERMINANTS OF BEHAVIOR INTENTION TO USE DERIVATIVE SECURITIES. A STUDY ON INDIVIDUAL INVESTOR'S BEHAVIORS IN STOCK MARKET OF VIETNAM MASTER OF BUSINESS (honours) Ho Chi Minh City – Year 2018 TIEU LUAN MOI download : skknchat@gmail.com UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICS HO CHI MINH CITY International School of Business ------------------------------ Trang Nguyen Thanh Phuong DETERMINANTS OF BEHAVIOR INTENTION TO USE DERIVATIVE SECURITIES. A STUDY ON INDIVIDUAL INVESTOR'S BEHAVIORS IN STOCK MARKET OF VIETNAM MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION SUPERVISOR: DR. Trần Phương Thảo Ho Chi Minh City – Year 2018 TIEU LUAN MOI download : skknchat@gmail.com Acknowledgement I would like to express my sincere thankfulness to my supervisor, Dr. Tran Phuong Thao, who made me believe in myself and gave me the possibility to complete the thesis. Her guidance helped me in all the time of research and writing this thesis. I am sure that this thesis would not have been possible without her support. I would like to express my gratitude to all staffs in ISB who supported necessary materials and helped submit my papers. My sincere thanks also go to friends and colleagues who participated in the pilot study that led to the development of the final survey questionnaire and their support over the time when I was busy to conduct the research. Especially, I would like to give my special thanks my family for supporting me spiritually throughout my life. Trang Nguyen Thanh Phuong TIEU LUAN MOI download : skknchat@gmail.com Abstract This study investigates the determinants of behavior intention to use derivative securities on individual investor ‘s behaviors in stock markets of Vietnam. Those determinants include attitude towards behavior, subjective norm, perceived behavioral control. It also examines the effect of overconfidence, excessive optimism, herd behavior, risk aversion toward attitude towards behavior. An empirical test was conducted with a sample of 317 individual investors by means of structural equation modeling. The results show that perceived behavior control has the strongest impact on the three main factors affecting behavior intention to use derivative securities with a coefficient of 0. The other two factors, including attitude towards behavior, subjective norm, have a direct impact on behavior intention to use derivative securities with coefficients of 0. On the other hand, overconfidence, excessive optimism, herd behavior and risk aversion have direct effect on attitude towards behavior. However, herd behavior and aversion effect attitude towards behavior with positive coefficient while overconfidence, excessive optimism affect with negative coefficient. Finally, age and education play an important role in behavior intention to use securities derivatives while there is no difference between men and women who intend to use derivative securities. 2 TIEU LUAN MOI download : skknchat@gmail.com Table of Contents Acknowledgement . 2 List of figures . 5 List of tables . 6 List of abbreviations . Theoretical background and hypotheses . Research model and hypotheses . Attitude towards behavior (ATB) .3 Perceived behavioral control (PBC) .2 Main survey test. Data analysis and results . Exploratory Factor Analysis (EFA) . Confirmatory Factor Analysis (CFA) . Convergent Validity of all variables . Discriminant Validity of all variables . Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) . Indirect Effects of Behavior intention to use . Independent Sample T-test and Oneway Anova. 51 3 TIEU LUAN MOI download : skknchat@gmail. Hypothesis testing results . Implications for managers. Limitations and directions for future research . Confirmatory Factor Analysis . Structural Equation Modeling . 93 4 TIEU LUAN MOI download : skknchat@gmail.com List of figures Figure 1. The theory of planned behavior – (Ajzen, 1991) . Main steps of research process . First Measurement Standardized Modelling . Structural Equation Model . 48 5 TIEU LUAN MOI download : skknchat@gmail.com List of tables Table 1. Sample size Criteria (Comfrey & Lee, 1992) . Criteria for Measurement Model . Remiability Test Results . KMO and Bartlett's Test . Total Variance Explained . Value of Composite Reliability . Value of Average Variance Extracted . Discriminant Caculating Result . Square root of AVE results . Regression Weights of Model . Indirect effects on Behavior intention to use . Independent Samples Test . Test of Homogeneity of Variances . Anova tesing result . Test of Homogeneity of Variances . Anova tesing result . 53 6 TIEU LUAN MOI download : skknchat@gmail.com List of abbreviations No. Abbreviation Meaning 1 AVE Average Variance Extracted ATB Attitude Towards Behavior 2 CFA Confirmatory factor analysis 3 CR Composite Reliability 5 EFA Exploratory factor analysis 6 HOSE Ho Chi Minh City Stock Exchange 7 HNX Hanoi Stock Exchange 12 TRA Theory of Reason Action 13 TBC Perceived Behavioral Control 14 TPB Theory of Planned Behavior SN Subjective Norm 15 SEM Structural Equation Modeling 7 TIEU LUAN MOI download : skknchat@gmail. Introduction Derivatives are a valuable financial instrument that depends on the price of the underlying asset. Basically, derivatives can be understood as a type of contract for a future but predefined transaction. Derivative instruments are conduct as a tool used to manage and control risk. Specifically, derivative products are used to prevent risk when asset values fluctuate. In addition, derivatives are considered as hedging instruments against volatility of commodity prices. In the derivatives market, there are two main markets: the financial derivative market and commodity derivatives market. In this study, the author will focus on the financial derivatives market on the stock market, exactly the Vietnam stock market. To date, Vietnam stock market has been established for quite a long time, but just over 11 years the stock market of Vietnam has a significant development; Two stock exchanges have been established, namely the Ho Chi Minh City Stock Exchange (HOSE) and the Hanoi Stock Exchange (HNX), a stock exchange depository center has been established, nearly 89 securities companies are operating and more than 700 companies have listed their shares and fund certificates on two Vietnamese stock exchanges. By 2013, at the Ho Chi Minh City Stock Exchange, the stock market capitalization has reached over $ 32 billion, equivalent to 25 percent of GDP in 2013, the number of accounts of investors reached over 1.3 million trading accounts, of which foreign investors had about 16,000 accounts, compared to the end of 2007, the total number of securities trading accounts has increased by more than 3.5 times and the number of accounts of foreign investors has nearly doubled, proving that the demand of securities investors has increased 8 TIEU LUAN MOI download : skknchat@gmail. The daily trading value of the two exchanges in the market has reached over 5000 billion. Although the Vietnam's stock market has been developing for more than 13 years, there is no derivative market based on securities tools to assist investors in hedging price fluctuations. Macroeconomic uncertainty and severe financial risk have negatively affected nearly all small investors trust the financial market. There are only basic investment tools in the market such as stocks, bonds and fund certificates. After a long period of preparation and completion, the derivatives market will officially come into operation in the near future with the first derivative traded futures contract. Although the derivatives market has been formed and developed for a long time, but for the majority of investors this is still a relatively new trading form. The emergence of these derivatives will make the stock market more vibrant and diverse. On the other hand, it helps investors to improve their knowledge and skills to develop the derivatives market later. In the body of literature, there are a wide range of studies examined the behavioral intention of customers including Jeong & Lambert (2001), Burton, Sheather & Roberts (2003), Liu, Lu, Marchewka & Yu (2004), Amoako & Gyampah (2007), Gu, Lee & Suh (2009), Han & Kim (2010). In the context of financial market, the behavioral intentions have been examined in a plenty of studies such as Berry, Parasuraman & Zeithaml (1996), Athanassopoulos (2000), Auh, Bell, McLeod & Shih (2007), Keh & Xie (2009), Bolton, Bitner & Mende (2013), Saeidi, Sofian & Saeidi (2015). 9 TIEU LUAN MOI download : skknchat@gmail.com In the aforementioned studies, the theories of behavioral have suggested the author to identify and analyze the key factors that capture the behavioral intentions of investors in Vietnam's derivatives markets. This study of behavioral intention is conducted by using different approaches. The theory of planned behavior (TPB) has been proven relatively effective predicting various human behaviors (Sheppard, Hartwick et al. Furthermore, the TPB theory has shown to be one of the strongest theories with multiple implications and it was mentioned in many studies related to behavioral intention. Therefore, the identification of individual investor behavior can be examined by the adoption of a behavioral approach to the study of the financial derivatives market and the level of investor perception of different derivatives markets. Derivatives are used by large corporations and companies to manage exchange rate risk, loans or financial expenses. Based on mentioned studies, derivatives are very useful in risk management. Through the option call and put option, market risks are prevented using forward and future contracts. Derivatives are indispensable products in the deep, broad and diversified development of financial markets. To date, derivatives have developed rapidly, are strong on a global scale and play an increasingly important role in the financial and monetary system. These tools show prominent features in risk prevention, meeting the needs and interests of many market participants. However, it also shows the complexity and if not good management can cause economic instability. In Vietnam, derivative products originating from currencies and commodities have been in use for many years. On commodity derivatives, the Buon Me Thuot 10 TIEU LUAN MOI download : skknchat@gmail.com coffee trading center was established in 2006 with the main function of organizing the trading of coffee produced in Vietnam in the form of spot and forward delivery (Forward contract). To date, the use of currency derivatives has been extended to many domestic and foreign commercial banks, with a variety of instruments such as swaps, options, future contract. The financial derivatives market is being prepared for establishment and development in the near future. In order to help individual investor familiarize with the new investment instrument, in the first phase of the market operation, two basic futures contracts will be introduced including futures on the stock index (VN30 and HNX30) and futures on government bonds. Other derivative contracts on asset types will be issued later. In the derivatives market, there are four main contributing factors to the derivative market: infrastructure, legal framework, products and people (Hull, 2006). In recent years, the government has developed, developed and prepared the legal framework and technical infrastructure to operate the derivatives market. However, the government cannot upgrade human factors as they do with infrastructure, legal framework or technical. There are many models of human behavior, each of which is applied in different circumstances. Human behavior for different problems can be predicted very differently. Similarly, in financial environments, for different financial products, human behavior is also very different (Mullainathan & Thaler, 2000; LeBaron, 2001; Shiller, 2002). In other words, if individual investors are not involved in the derivative financial market, this market will be ineffective and unable to grow in the future. In addition, the internal factors such as education, experience, gender, culture, individual investors are also 11 TIEU LUAN MOI download : skknchat@gmail.com influenced by a number of psychological factors. Although individual investors have gradually become more professional in investment, some empirical studies of market performance show evidence that the VN-Index is not random. One of the reasons is the existence of psychological factors affecting the behavioral intentions of individual investors in the stock market (Phan & Chu, 2014). In accordance, the decision of investors although based on reasonable analysis, is influenced by psychological factors (Murgea, 2008, Sehgal & Singh, 2012). Hence, this study is necessary to conduct in the current context of Vietnam to understand the level of investors toward derivative financial instruments when the derivative financial market is put into operation.

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