C hitdng 4 C H I PHI V O N V A C O C A U V O N Phan tfch cac lu6ng ti£n chiet kha'u nham h6 tro cho viec ra cac quyet djnh <Mu nr cung nhu quyet dinh du toan von dau tu. Bang viec so sanh gia tri hien tai cua cac lu6ng thu nhap theo du tinh vcri chi phi dau tu, cac nha quan ly co th i tim duoc loi giai cho v£n d£ co nen dau tu hay khong. Mot yeu td' ra't quan trong cua qua trinh nay la xac dinh dung dan ty le hien tai hoa (ty le chiet kha'u), do la chi phi von dau tu. Chi tieu nay duoc sur dung chu yeu de hoach dinh co cau von cung nhu co ca'u tai san.
KHAl N I$ M CHI PHI VON Ben phai bang can doi ke toan th i hien cac nguon von cua doanh nghiep. Theo cach phan chia phd bien nha't, nguon vdn bao gom cac khoan no va von cua chu. No bao gdm no ngdn han, no dai han. Vdn cua chu c6 the bao gom von huy ddng bang c6 phieu thucmg, co phie'u uu tien, lpi nhuan khdng chia.
Ty trong cua cac ngudn do trong tong nguon chmh la co ca'u vdn. Bat cur mdt su tang len cua tdng tai san phai dupe tai trp bang viec tang mdt hoac nhieu yeu to ca'u thanh vdn. Vdn la nhan td can thidt cua san xuat. Cung nhu b£t ky mdt nhan td' nao khac, khi huy ddng vdn, doanh nghiep cdn bo ra mdt chi phi nha't dinh.
Chi phi cua mdi mdt nhan td' ca'u thanh goi la chi phi nhan td' ca'u thanh cua loai vdn cu thi d6. Co thi hilu chi phi vdn la chi phi co hdi cua viec sur dung vdn, dupe tinh b^ng sd lpi nhuan ky vong dat dupe trftn vdn d£u to vao du an hoac doanh nghiep d l giu khdng lam giam sd lpi nhuan danh 109 cho chu so huru. doanh nghiep A co the va\ tien \<n lai suat lCFo thi chi phi cua no la lO^c. Trong chuong na> u*p trung \ao nghien cuu chi phi cua 4 nhan to cau lhanh co cau von hao gom: ng.
c6 phieu uu tien. loi nhuan khdng chia va cd phieu thudng moi. Chi phi cau thanh cua chung dugc ky hieu nhu sau Kd: chi phi ng truoc thue, doi vcri doanh nghiep A la 10%. K d(l - T): chi phi ng sau thue, trong do, T la thue suat thue thu nh^p doanh nghiep.
Doi vcri doanh nghiep A vdi T = 40% thi Kd(l- T) = 6%. Kp: chi phi cua cd. phieu uu tien. Doi vdi doanh nghiep A, Kp = 10,3%.
Ks: chi phi cua lgi nhuan khong chia. Doi vcri doanh nghiep A, K s = 13,4%. Ke: chi phf von co phieu thucmg mdi. Truong hgp doanh nghifep A, Ke = 14%.
WACC: chi phi trung binh cua vdn. Neu doanh nghifep muon tao vdn mdi dd tai trg cho viec m e rdng tai san va duy tri mot co c^u vdn can bang, thi no phai tao ra mot phan n g mdi, mdt phan c 6 phieu uu tien va m ot phan c 6 phieu thudng (lay tir lgi nhuan khdng chia hoac phat hanh co phieu thudng mdi) theo cung m dt ty 16. CHI PHI CUA CAC LOAI VON 4. Chi phi cua np vay 4.
Chi phi ng vay truac thue Chi phi np truoc thue (Kd) dupe tmh toan tr£n co sd lai suat no vay. Lai sua’t nay thudng dupe in dinh trong hpp d6ng vay ti£n. Chi phi ng vay sau thue Chi phf np sau thue Kd(l -T), dupe xac dinh bang chi phi np truoc thue trir di khoan tiet Idem nhd thue. Phan ti£t ki&n nay dupe xac dinh bang chi phi truoc thue nhan vdi thue' suat (KdxT).
Vi 110 ' ay, neu doanh nghiep A vay tien vdi lai suat 10r b \ a Ihue suat thue thu nhap doanh nghiep la 409c thi chi phi no sau thue ia h. Gia tri c6 phieu cua doanh nghiep ma chung ta muon toi da hoa phu thuoc vao cac lu6ng tien sau thue. Do vay, de chung ro the so sanh dugc vdi nhau, tat ca cac chi phi' von ciin duoc tmh quy ve chi phf sau thue. Chi phi von chu so huru 4.
Chi ph i co phieu uu tien Chi phi cua co phieu uu tien (Kp) dugc xac dinh bang cach la'y cd tuc uu tien (Dp) chia cho gia phat hanh thuan cua co phidu (Pn) - la gia ma doanh nghiep nhan dugc sau khi da tru chi phf phat hanh. Dp Kp = ---------- Pn Vf du: doanh nghiep A su dung cd phieu uu tien phai tra 10 dv co tuc cho m6i co phieu menh gia 100 dv. Ndu doanh nghiep ban nhung cd phieu uu tien mdi vdi gia bang menh gia va chiu chi phf phat hanh la 2,5 % gia ban hay 2,5 dv cho mdt cd phieu, khoan thu rong se la 97,5 dv vdi mot cd phieu. Vi vay, chi phf co phieu uu tidn cua doanh nghiep A se la: 10 dv K p = ------------- = 10,3% 97,5 dv 4.
Chi phi cua lgi nhudn khong chia Chi phi ng vay va chi phi co phidu uu tien duoc xac dinl^dua tren thu nhap ma cac nha d iu tu y d u c iu d6i vdi nhung chung khoin nay. Tuong tu, d ii phi cua loi njniin khdng chia ia ty Id co turc m a ngudi nlm gia c 6 phidu thudng ydu diu ddi vdi du in doanh 111 nghiep diu tu bing lpi nhuan kh6ng chia. Chi phi von cua lpi nhuan khong chia lien quan den chi phi co h6i cua von. Loi nhuan sau thue cua doanh nghiep thudc vi ngudi ndm giu cd phieu.
Ngudi ndm giu trai phieu dupe bu dip bcri nhiing khoan thanh toan lai, nguoi ndm giu c 6 phieu uu tien dupe bu d ip boi c6 tuc uu tien, nhung lpi nhuan khdng chia thudc ve ngucri nim giu c6 phieu thucmg. Phin lpi nhuan niy dI bu d ip cho ngudi nim giu co phieu ve viec su dung von cua ho. Ban quan ly co the' tra phan lpi nhuan nay dudi hlnh thuc c6 tuc hoac la dung lpi nhuan do de tai ddu tu. N£u ban quan ly quy£t dinh khong chia lpi nhuan thi se co mot chi phf co h6i lien quan.
C6 ddng le ra co the nhan dupe phan lpi nhuan dudi dang c6 cfc va d iu tu dudri hlnh thiic khac. Ty su it lpi nhuan ma cd dong mong muon tren phan vdn nay chrnh la chi phf cua no. Do la ty su it lpi nhuan ma ngudi nim giu c6 phan mong dpi kiem dupe tCr nhung khoan d iu tu co mure rui ro tuong duong. VI vay, gia su ring cd ddng cua doanh nghiep A mong dpi kiem dupe mdt ty suit lpi nhuan Ks tir khoan tiln cua ho.
N6u doanh nghiep khdng thi dau tu phan lpi nhuan khdng chia d l lo£m dupe ty suit lpi nhuan ft nha't la Ks thi sd tiln nay se dupe tra cho cac c6 ddng d l ho diu tu vao nhung tai san khac. Khac vdi np v& c6 phieu uu tien, ngudi ta khdng dt ding do ludng dupe Ks. Tuy nhien, cd thi ude lucmg dupe chi phf vdn c6 phin. Mdt cd phieu d dilm can bing cua thi trudng thi ty le lpi tuc yeu ciu Ks cung tucmg duong vdi ty le lpi turc mong dpi K**.
Hon nfia, lpi turc yeu ciu tucmg duong vdi mdt lpi tuc cua mdi tai san khdng cd rui ro (K ^) cong vdi mtic bu rui ro RP, trong khi lpi tuc mong dpi ddi vdi mdt c6 phieu dang ting trudng 6n dinh (Constant growth stock) tuong duong vdi mue smfi M cua c6 phieii (Dl/Po) cdng vdi ti le tang trucmg n»0ng dpi (g). Lpi tfc y6u c&i = Lpi tdc mong dpi. 112 Ks = KRF + RP = D ,/P0 + g = K As VI hat ben tuang duang nhau nen chung ta co the du doan Ks theo each Ks = KRF + RP hoac Ks = KAs = D,/P0+ g. Thuc te co ba phuong phap thucmg dugc su dung de’ xac dinh chi phi lgi nhuan khong chia.
Phuong phap CAPM. Phuong phap luong tidn chiet kha'u. Phuong phap lay lai suS't trai phieu e6ng vdi phan thuang rui ro. * Phuong p h ap CA PM (mo hinh dinh gia tai san tai chinh) Phuong phap nay duoc tien hanh nhu sau: Budc 1: Xac dinh lgi tuc cua tai san khOng co rui ro KRF.
Loi turc nay thuang tuong duong vdi lai sua't trai phidu kho bac. Budc 2: Du doan hd so bd ta cua c 6 phieu va su dung no nhu la he sd rui ro cua c6 phieu. Budc 3: Du doan lai sua't mong doi trdn thi trudng hoac la loi turc mong dgi ddi vdi c6 phidu cd dd rui ro trung binh (Krm). Budc 4: Thay thd' nhung gia tri trdn vao phuong trinh CAPM d l xac dinh ty le loi turc mong doi ddi vcri c 6 phidu dang xet.
duoc didu chinh theo miic rui ro, turc la didu chinh theo hd sd bd ta cua c6 phidu dd Ndu gia sir rin g K ^ = 8%, KRm= 13% va p( = 0,7. Ks cua c6 phidu nay duoc tmh nhu sau: Ks = 8% + (13% - 8%) 0,7 = 11,5 % 113 Neu 13 = 1.0 phan anh co phieu rui ro h'^, muc trunc binh thi H le loi luc yeu ^au Ks se ia: Ks = Sf c H 13rc - 8%) 1,0 = 1 3rc Phuong phap CAPM co mot so \a n de can Iiru \ : - K ho xac dinh KRi_ - Kho du doan he so be ta - Kho xac dinh phdn loi nhuan bu ddp cho rui ro thi truong. * Phuong phap lai suat trai phieu cong vcn muc bu rui ro Mac du co tinh chu quan trong viec tiep can. cac nha phan tich thudng du doan chi phi cua cd phdn thudng cua mot doanh nghiep bdng viec cong mot muc bu rui ro khoang tir 3-5% vao lai suat no dai han cua doanh nghiep.
N hu vay, nhung doanh nghiep co rui ro cao, xep hang thap va co np vcri lai sua't cao cung co von c6 phan vai chi phf cao. Vi du: Neu mot doanh nghiep co lai sua't trai phieu la 9% thi chi phi von cd phieu co the' du doan nhu sau: Ks = Lai suat trai phieu + Phdn thudng rui ro = 9% + 4% = 13%. Mot doanh nghiep khac co rui ro cao han va lai sudt trai phi&i co thfe la 12%, do do du doan chi phi von co phieu la 16%. VI muc bu rui ro 4% la du doan co thfe difeu chinh nen gia tri du doan Ks cung co the di6u chinh.
* Phucm g p h ap luong tien chiet khau Gia cua mot co phieu thucmg phu thuoc vao co tuc mong dpi doi vdi co phieu do.