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Nghiên cứu tác động của đòn bẩy ngân hàng đối với các công ty niêm yết trên sàn chứng khoán TP.HCM, phân tích và đánh giá hiệu quả.

Chuyên ngành

Banking and Finance

Người đăng

Ẩn danh

Thể loại

master thesis

2011

115
0
0

Phí lưu trữ

35 Point

Mục lục chi tiết

ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

ABSTRACT

CONTENTS

1. CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION

1.1. RESEARCH BACKGROUND

1.2. THE USEFULNESS OF THE RESEARCH

1.3. RESEARCH OBJECTIVES

1.4. SCOPE AND METHODOLOGY

1.5. THE STRUCTURE OF STUDY

2. CHAPTER 2: LITERATURE REVIEW

2.1. INTRODUCTION

2.2. CAPITAL STRUCTURE THEORY AND FIRM PERFORMANCE

3. CHAPTER 3: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3.1. RESEARCH SAMPLE DESCRIPTION

3.2. RETURN ON EQUITY

3.3. RETURN ON ASSETS

3.4. HYPOTHESIS AND EMPIRICAL MODEL SPECIFICATION

3.4.1. MODEL 1: FIRM LEVERAGE MODEL

3.4.2. MODEL 2: FIRM PERFORMANCE MODEL

3.4.3. MODEL 3: BANK LOAN MODEL

4. CHAPTER 4: DATA ANALYSIS AND FINDINGS

4.1. RESULTS OF LEVERAGE MODEL

4.2. RESULTS OF FIRM PERFORMANCE MODEL

4.3. RESULTS OF BANK LOAN MODEL

4.4. THE IMPLICATIONS OF THE RESEARCH

4.5. LIMITATIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS FOR FUTURE RESEARCH

APPENDIX A – REGRESSION RESULTS OF MODELS

APPENDIX B – INDUSTRY CLASSIFICATION

APPENDIX C – FINANCIAL RATIOS OF 92 FIRMS LISTED ON HOSE FROM 2007 TO 2010

APPENDIX D – CREATIONS OF VARIABLES FOR THE MODELS

LIST OF FIGURES

LIST OF TABLES

ABBREVIATIONS

Trích đoạn nội dung tài liệu

MINISTRY OF EDUCATION AND TRAINING UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICS HO CHI MINH CITY ----------o0o--------- TRINH THI HANG BANK LEVERAGE EFFECT – CASE OF LISTED COMPANIES ON HO CHI MINH STOCK EXCHANGE MASTER THESIS Ho Chi Minh – 2011 TIEU LUAN MOI download : skknchat@gmail.com MINISTRY OF EDUCATION AND TRAINING UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICS HO CHI MINH CITY ----------o0o--------- TRINH THI HANG BANK LEVERAGE EFFECT – CASE OF LISTED COMPANIES ON HO CHI MINH STOCK EXCHANGE MAJOR: BANKING AND FINANCE MAJOR CODE: 60.12 MASTER THESIS INSTRUCTOR: PROFESSOR BUI KIM YEN Ho Chi Minh – 2011 TIEU LUAN MOI download : skknchat@gmail.com ACKNOWLEDGEMENT First and foremost I would like to thank my supervisor, Professor Bui Kim Yen for her guidance and support. Special thanks also go to all of my lecturers at Banking and Finance Faculty, University of Economics Ho Chi Minh City for their teaching and guidance during my Master of Banking and Finance course. I also wish to thank all my coworkers in Military Bank, my friends in Bank for Investment and Development of Viet Nam, Au Viet Securities for their great support during my master thesis writing. Finally, my greatest thanks would go to my family including my parents, my sisters and my brothers who are the greatest encouragement for me to overcome all difficulties in my life. i TIEU LUAN MOI download : skknchat@gmail.com ABSTRACT The thesis aims to add empirical evidence to the corporate finance literature by looking at firms’ debt choice and performance. This thesis also find the relationship between firms’ debt choice and bank loans in companies listed on Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HOSE) of Vietnam as an emerging market. The thesis consists of five chapters. After an introductory chapter, the study reviews the existing literature on the capital structure controversy with an emphasis on the recent empirical works. The following third chapter provides the research methodology for the study. The study applies panel data procedures, least square regression to test surrounding issues of capital structure of 92 firms listed on HOSE for the period 2007 and 2010. While the main findings of this study which are consistent with theories are reported in the fourth chapter, there are new major insights that represent the special case of emerging markets in general and Vietnam in particular. These main insights, as well as the main conclusions of the study, are summarized in Chapter 5, including some limitations and recommendations for future researches. Our findings are that many of the factors that are found to be significant in the determination of capital structure and performance of the firms listed on HOSE are the same as those found in developed and developing capital markets such as firm size, asset turnover. Besides, we find that the listed firms’ debt choice affect performance negatively. In addition to the State Bank of Vietnam‘s general lending principals such as legal establishment of firm, legal purpose of loan, earning capacity of the business and profitable project, our findings suggest that banks should take more considerations on firms’ asset tangibility, size and asset turnover when making decisions on loans to corporate. Keywords: Capital structure, firm performance, bank loan, Vietnam, HOSE. ii TIEU LUAN MOI download : skknchat@gmail.com CONTENTS Acknowledgement . iii List of Figures . v List of Tables. vii CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION 1.2 The usefulness of the research .4 Scope and methodology .5 The structure of the study. 3 CHAPTER 2: LITERATURE REVIEW 2.2 Capital structure theory and firm performance .3 Maturity structure and bank loan theory . 20 CHAPTER 3: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 3.1 Research sample description .2 Return on equity .3 Return on assets . 24 iii TIEU LUAN MOI download : skknchat@gmail.3 Hypothesis and empirical model specification .1 Model 1: Firm Leverage Model .2 Model 2: Firm Performance Model .3 Model 3: Bank Loan Model . 30 CHAPTER 4: DATA ANALYSIS AND FINDINGS 4.3 Results of Leverage Model .4 Results of Firm Performance Model .5 Results of Bank Loan Model.3 The implications of the research .4 Limitations and recommendations for future research . 52 Appendix A – Regression results of models . 59 Appendix B – Industry classification . 72 Appendix C – Financial ratios of 92 firms listed on HOSE from 2007 to 2010. 75 Appendix D – Creations of variables for the models . 91 iv TIEU LUAN MOI download : skknchat@gmail.com LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1.1: Outline of chapter 3 .2: Summary of research data collection . 22 v TIEU LUAN MOI download : skknchat@gmail.com LIST OF TABLES Table 4.1: Number of companies per industry .2: Descriptive statistic for the variables used in the study .3: The correlations between ROA and others variables .4: The correlations between ROE and others variables .5: The reported results of Leverage Model .6: The final reported results of Leverage Model .7: The reported results of Firm Performance Model (by using ROA).8: The reported results of Firm Performance Model (by using ROE) .9: The final reported results of Firm Performance Model (by using ROA) with significant variables.10: The final reported results of Firm Performance Model (by using ROE) with significant variables .11: The reported results for TOBIT´s estimations of Bank Loan Model .12: The final reported results of TOBIT´s estimations of Bank Loan Model . 47 vi TIEU LUAN MOI download : skknchat@gmail.com ABBREVIATIONS BAS Basic Material CONS Construction and material CUS Customer good and services GLS Generalized least square regression GROWTH Growth opportunities HNX Ha Noi Stock Exchange HOSE Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange INDU Industrial sector IT Information Technology LEV Financial leverage OIL Oil and gas ROA Return on assets ROE Return on equity SIZE Firm size TANG Asset tangibility TRAN Transportation TURN Asset turnover UTI Utilities VND Vietnam Dong vii TIEU LUAN MOI download : skknchat@gmail.com CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION 1.1 RESEARCH BACKGROUND The capital structure theory has been one of the most important background literatures when studying the corporate finance. This theory was originated in 1958 by Modigliani and Miller who gave a rigorous proof of the independence of a firm’s values and its capital structure mix. The capital structure of a firm explains the ways in which a firm finances its investment and overall operations. It consists mainly of a combination of debt and equity as well as all other sources of finance available to the firm. It has been obvious from various studies that one factor which has affected and will continue to affect a firm’s financial performance is the choice of its capital structure mix. There have been many studies conducted to find out the optimal capital structure for corporate from this background but no formula or theory that decisively provides optimal capital structure for a firm has been found yet. There are many factors affecting the choice of firm’s capital structure. These factors may vary substantially from company to company, from industry to industry and from country to country. While the studies on the determinants on the capital structure and the effects of capital structure on firm performance have been very popularly conducted in almost every developed country in the world, these kinds of research have still been limited in Viet Nam. Meanwhile the way an organization is financed is of paramount importance to both the managers of firms and providers of funds. This is because if a wrong mix of finance is employed, the performance and survival of the enterprise may be seriously affected. This is the motivation for me to do this study with the hope to have deeper understanding about the role of capital structure on firm’s performance. Besides, we also do a research on the conditions and determinants firms must have when accessing funds from banks. These examinations are conducted in Viet Nam as a developing country. 1 TIEU LUAN MOI download : skknchat@gmail.com The rest of this chapter provides the overview of the usefulness of the research, the research objectives, research methodology and the structure of the research.2 THE USEFULNESS OF THE RESEARCH Firstly, this study helps firm managers to identify and implement the optimal capital structure best for their firms, applicable to their industry and minimize the cost of financing while maximizing the firm’s overall value and financial performance. Secondly, the study is a contribution to the debate on what determinants affecting the choice of capital structure of Viet Nam firms in general and firm listed on HOSE, in particular. Our findings are the same as those found in developed countries’ researches that firm size, asset turnover affect the choice of firm’s capital structure. The findings do not support the effects of industry factors on the capital structure choice and firm performance. Finally, this study helps banks to make right decisions when making decisions on loans to enterprises in the manners to limit the risks incurring from loans. Especially, this study gives empirical evidence regarding to the use of bank loan for the period of 2007 and 2010 of firms listed on HOSE of Viet Nam. From this finding, banks will have suitable strategies in choosing the best firms and the best industry to finance in.3 RESEARCH OBJECTIVES This study is conducted to answer the four following questions: - What are the determinants affecting the leverage of firms listed on HOSE? - What are the relationships between the leverage and firm performance of firms listed on HOSE? - What are the relationships between industrial sectors, firms leverage and firms performance? 2 TIEU LUAN MOI download : skknchat@gmail.com - What are the determinants banks take more concern when issuing loans to firms listed on HOSE in general and in Viet Nam situation in particular? 1.4 SCOPE AND METHODOLOGY My study uses the data collected from the audited financial statements of 92 firms listed on Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange for the period from 2007 and 2010. These companies are classified into 8 main industrial sectors in the economy. I have the Eview software version 4 to test all my data. The main tools used are Descriptive statistic, Model regression, etc., to obtain the results for financial models.1: Research Methodology Literature reveiw Hypothesis and empirical models Data collection Estimation and testing Are results consistent with theory? Conclusions and recommendations 1.5 THE STRUCTURE OF STUDY The structure of the study consists of 5 chapters: Chapter 1: Introduction. 3 TIEU LUAN MOI download : skknchat@gmail.com This chapter introduces the general knowledge about the study. They are research background, research usefulness, research objectives, the scope and the methodology of the study. Chapter 2: Literature Review The purpose of literature review is to present the theories conducted by economists in the past. From these theories, we mention to the points used for the studying of this paper. Chapter 3: Methodology This chapter shows the way we conduct my thesis. It is a quantitative research to test the suitable of popular financial models in the world to Viet Nam. The data used for this model are collected directly from the audited financial statements of listed firms on Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange in Viet Nam. Chapter 4: Data analysis and findings The purpose of this chapter is to give the results after processing the data. In other words, the results of financial models mentioned in chapter 3 are shown. Chapter 5: Conclusions, Recommendations and Limitations This chapter will conclude the whole content of the study. It also gives out the limitations of the study and raise up some problems for further studies. 4 TIEU LUAN MOI download : skknchat@gmail.com CHAPTER 2: LITERATURE REVIEW 2.1 INTRODUCTION The purpose of this chapter is to review the theories related to capital structure, firm performance and bank loan. Besides, the empirical studies of various researchers in many countries have also been mentioned in order to show an overall picture related to capital structure issue.2 CAPITAL STRUCTURE THEORY AND FIRM PERFORMANCE Modern capital structure theory consists of two independent variables: debt and equity financing.

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